Projections give France edge vs. Portugal

After plenty of thrills, upsets, Cinderella stories (Wales! Iceland!) and complete failures (England! Spain!), we're down to two teams battling it out in Sunday's Euro 2016 final (ESPN/WatchESPN, 3 p.m. ET).
France and Portugal meet in Saint-Denis with plenty of compelling storylines. Will Cristiano Ronaldo win his first international title? Will Antoine Griezmann score a seventh Euro 2016 goal and lift Les Bleus to their second Euros win as hosts, having won on home soil back in 1984? Will Olivier Giroud be the difference-maker, or will it fall to the mega talented, new Bayern signing Renato Sanches to lift Fernando Santos' side to victory?
We crunched the numbers, SPI projections and key stats heading into the big game. Hint: It's looking good for France... on paper at least.