Portugal and France can write their own script
PARIS -- Tournament finals are the last chapter of a narrative.
Unlike league football, there really is no Brooklyn Dodger-esque "wait
till next year" vibe. Next year isn't next year -- it's two years from
now, and, given the nature of the international game, odds are that much
of each team will be different, most likely with a new manager too.
It
will not be hard, then, for the two coaches involved in Sunday's final
-- Portugal's Fernando Santos and France's Didier Deschamps -- to find
the right psychological hooks to make their teams match-ready. The tale
is largely written. But there is a chance to determine the ending, and
that's a luxury you rarely get -- in sports or in life.
Both
can tell their players that, while they might not have been the best
team in the tournament, the fact that they're here suggests they might
be the hungriest and most tough-minded. Never mind to what degree it's
true; focus instead on what it means.
If games finished in the
88th minute, neither of these teams would have won a single match in the
group stage. Take France's 2-0 semifinal wins vs. Germany out of the
mix and the highest-ranked sides these teams have actually beaten are
Romania, 22nd in the world and 2-1 losers to France, and Wales, clocking
in at No. 26 and beaten 2-0 by Portugal in the last four.
Or move
to another, admittedly more subjective, vantage point and ask how long
in this tournament has either side spent playing great football on the
front foot.
At the risk of sounding harsh, for France you might
highlight a half vs. Republic of Ireland and Iceland respectively and
maybe the opening minutes against Germany. For Portugal, there were
flashes in the group stage and against Wales.
It's not that the
rest has been poor -- well, some of it has -- but rather that the
success of both teams has been more about effort, grit, teamwork and
difference-making individuals stepping up, mainly Renato Sanches and
Cristiano Ronaldo for Portugal and Dimitri Payet and Antoine Griezmann
for France.
Let's be clear: This in no way diminishes the
achievement of either side. But Ronaldo's words after the Wales win --
rather than being a throwaway comment -- take on a greater significance:
"It did not start as we wanted. But this is not a 100-meter sprint.
It's a marathon."
Sports psychology types like to talk about
"visualizing" success, and presumably managers do it too. It's safe to
say neither Santos nor Deschamps visualized they'd get this far with
their particular setup.
Or, in the case of Deschamps, several
setups. The French manager has made tactical or personnel adjustments in
every game, except for the Iceland match, where he was 4-0 up at
half-time. Just four of his starters in the tournament opener against
Romania -- Hugo Lloris, Bacary Sagna, Laurent Koscielny and Patrice Evra
-- have retained their place throughout the tournament.
It's a
similar story with Santos. Five of the 11 who started in the opener
against Iceland likely won't be starting against France; Ronaldo, Nani
and goalkeeper Rui Patricio are the only ones to have been named in the
starting lineup for every match.
Would both managers have made so many changes if everything had been going swimmingly?
Would they heck.
Both have had the humility to place their trust in guys who were either on the fringes or not even professionals a year ago.
Payet
was a 29-year-old who could not gain the trust of successive France
managers. Indeed, before this tournament he had played 90 minutes just
twice for Les Bleus. Sanches had played one minute of top-flight
football before last November. It's fair to say that, without these
players, neither side would be in the final.
Both teams have
endured periods in which they dominated and created plenty of chances
only for their finishers -- Olivier Giroud and Ronaldo -- to let them
down. But both persevered and, while it was a bit of a no-brainer for
Santos to stick with Ronaldo, the same can't be said for Deschamps: He
did have other options, from Andre-Pierre Signac to Anthony Martial to
Kingsley Coman.
Both have also had games in which they played
poorly and an individual star went supernova to save them: usually
Griezmann or Payet for France, Ronaldo or Sanches for Portugal.
Both
have put in sterling defensive performances at different times, often
led by unsung veterans: Pepe and Laurent Koscielny come to mind.
Both
have stared disaster in the eye. In the round of 16, France went a goal
down to Ireland and the Lyon crowd was getting restless, whereas
Portugal fell behind three separate times to Hungary in the final round
of group games and lived to tell the tale.
France don't just have
home support; they are the more gifted side from top to bottom, blessed
with a range of solutions, especially in attack. Historical precedent,
if you buy into it, plays in their favour too: They won their past two
tournaments on home soil -- Euro '84 and the 1998 World Cup.
They
know they can play better--- much better -- than they did in the past
three halves of football, and it's a natural pressure point for
Deschamps to hit. (Though, to be fair, he probably ought to shoulder a
fair part of the blame for any poor play against Germany as well.)
Portugal,
meanwhile, have proved themselves to be furiously, maddeningly
resilient. At 3-to-1, they have more Champions' League winners than the
French, if that means anything. They too can kick it up a notch, though
probably not as much as Deschamps' crew, unless Ronaldo is in Superman
mode.
It's tempting to conclude this final will be a typically tight,
grind-it-out game. France have all the pressure of the world on them
and, given the way they're set up, they can afford to wait for a set
piece or a Griezmann run on the break.
Portugal have looked best
when they've outworked the opposition and defended as a unit. It's the
formula that got them past Croatia and Poland and, on paper, there's
little reason for them to deviate from the script.
And yet if
there's one thing the semifinals reminded us, it's that goals can come
at any time and in any circumstance. An early one at the Stade de France
could radically change the blueprint, and there is enough individual
talent on both sides for this to happen. So maybe an early gamble, from
either side, might not be such a bad idea.
The book has been
written, bar the ending. Odds are we won't see many of these guys --
from Evra to Sagna, from Pepe to Ronaldo -- in another major
international tournament final. What you can be sure of is that every
last one of those involved will want to make this count and leave
nothing on the pitch. Just as they've done throughout this tournament.
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